Poker All-In EV Calculator

Calculate expected value for all-in decisions. Determine if calling or shoving is profitable based on equity and pot odds.

Formula:EV = (Win% × Win Amount) - (Lose% × Lose Amount)

Current pot before call

All-in amount you need to call

Win probability vs opponent's range

Smaller of the two stacks

Expected Value

$80

Decision

CALL

Profitable long-term

Equity Edge

+20.0%

Need 25.0%, have 45%

Pot Odds

2.0:1

33.3% equity needed

Total Pot

$400

After call

EV %

+80.0%

Return on call

Analysis

With 45% equity, you have a 20.0% edge over the 25.0% break-even point. This is a +EV call worth an average of $80 per occurrence.

Try These Examples

Quick-start with common scenarios

How to Calculate All-In EV

All-In EV calculates expected value when facing or making an all-in bet. If you have 40% equity against a $200 pot with a $100 call, your EV = (40% × $300) - (60% × $100) = $120 - $60 = +$60. A positive EV means calling is profitable long-term.

Key Facts About All-In EV

  • EV = (Win% × Win Amount) - (Lose% × Lose Amount)
  • Positive EV = profitable decision over time
  • Example: 35% equity, $150 pot, $50 call = +EV
  • ICM adjusts all-in EV in tournament situations
  • Fold equity adds value to aggressive all-ins
  • Consider implied odds before calling all-in
  • Risk premium: sometimes fold +EV spots in tournaments
  • Chip EV ≠ Dollar EV in tournaments (ICM)

Understanding All-In EV

The Formula

EV = (Win Probability × Win Amount) - (Lose Probability × Lose Amount)

With $200 in the pot, a $100 call, and 45% equity:
EV = (0.45 × $200) - (0.55 × $100) = $90 - $55 = +$35

Break-Even Equity

Required Equity = Call Amount ÷ (Pot + Call)
For a $100 call into $200: $100 ÷ $300 = 33.3%

Tournament Considerations

In tournaments, chip EV doesn't equal dollar EV. ICM pressure near bubbles and pay jumps often means folding +chip EV spots. A double-up early in a tournament is worth less than chip value because of diminishing returns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is All-In EV in poker?

All-In EV (Expected Value) calculates your average profit or loss when calling or making an all-in bet. With 45% equity in a $200 pot facing a $100 all-in, your EV = (0.45 × $200) - (0.55 × $100) = $90 - $55 = +$35. Positive EV means profitable.

How do I calculate my equity for all-in decisions?

Use an equity calculator with your hand vs opponent's range. Against a tight range (QQ+, AK), pocket jacks have ~35% equity. Against a loose range (any pair, any ace), JJ has ~55% equity. The wider the range, the higher your equity typically.

When should I call an all-in?

Call when your pot odds are better than your equity needs. If there's $300 in the pot and you need to call $100, you need 25% equity ($100/$400). If you estimate 30% equity, calling is +EV.

How does tournament poker change all-in decisions?

Tournaments use ICM (Independent Chip Model) which values chips differently. Early doubles are worth less than survival near the bubble. You should often fold +chip EV spots when ICM pressure is high, especially with pay jumps.

What is fold equity in all-in situations?

Fold equity is the value gained when opponents fold to your all-in. If you shove $100 into a $50 pot and opponents fold 40% of the time, you profit $50 × 40% = $20 from folds alone, plus your showdown equity when called.