Calculate optimal lay stakes for matched betting and trading
Lock in equal profit regardless of outcome
Your qualifying/cash bet
Exchange odds and commission
Qualifying loss calculated
Win back bet, pay lay liability
Lose back stake, win lay profit
Lay Stake
$98
Liability
$207
Avg Profit
-$7
Retention
46.7%
Common back/lay scenarios
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Understanding matched betting
For qualifying bets using real money. Small loss expected.
Stake Not Returned. Different formula for optimal lay stake.
TL;DR summary
The Back/Lay calculator finds the optimal lay stake to match a back bet. For a $100 back bet at 3.00 odds, laying at 3.10 with 5% commission: Lay Stake = (3.00 × $100) / (3.10 - 0.05) = $98.36. This locks in ~$3.19 profit regardless of outcome. Essential for matched betting and trading positions.
Important things to know
Common questions about back/lay matching
Back/lay matching involves placing a back bet with a bookmaker and a lay bet on an exchange on the same outcome. By calculating the correct lay stake, you can guarantee the same profit (or loss) regardless of whether the selection wins or loses. This is the foundation of matched betting.
A qualifying bet is a bet placed to unlock a free bet bonus. The goal is to minimize losses while meeting the bookmaker's requirements. By back/lay matching a qualifying bet, you typically lose 1-3% of the stake due to odds differences and commission, but gain access to a valuable free bet.
SNR (Stake Not Returned) free bets only return winnings, not the stake. SR (Stake Returned) free bets return both winnings and stake. SNR free bets require a different lay stake calculation since you won't get the stake back if you win. SNR is more common.
Underlay means betting less on the lay side than optimal, accepting more profit if the back wins but a loss if it loses. Overlay means betting more on the lay, accepting more profit if the back loses but a loss if it wins. Both are used for strategic reasons or when exact matching isn't possible.
Exchange odds (lay) may differ from bookmaker odds (back) because: exchanges charge commission, markets have spreads between back and lay prices, bookmakers may have better odds on promotions, and market efficiency varies between platforms.
From qualifying bets: expect 0-5% loss. From free bets: expect 70-95% profit of the free bet value depending on odds. A $50 free bet typically returns $35-47 profit. Higher back odds and closer lay odds increase returns.