MLB DFS Value Calculator
Calculate points per dollar for MLB DFS players
Formula:
PPD = (Projected Points / Salary) × 1000MLB Player Analysis
Enter player projection and salary
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SP Value Analysis
Position-adjusted evaluation
Points Per Dollar
2.13
Good Value
Value Rating
56/100
Floor PPD
1.07
Ceiling PPD
3.73
Range
20.0 pts
SP PPD Thresholds
Excellent
2.5+
Good
2+
Fair
1.6+
Recommendation: GPP ace - ceiling provides tournament-winning upside
MLB Player Examples
Common MLB DFS scenarios
Quick Answer
TL;DR summary
MLB DFS value is measured by Points Per Dollar (PPD). In MLB on DraftKings ($35K cap), target 2.0+ PPD for pitchers and 1.8+ PPD for hitters. Starting pitchers drive MLB lineups - a dominant SP performance can single-handedly win GPPs. Stack hitters in favorable matchups for correlated upside.
Key MLB DFS Facts
Important things to know
- MLB DraftKings: $35,000 salary cap, 10 roster spots
- Pitchers score via Ks, wins, quality starts - ace SPs can reach 30+ pts
- Target 2.0+ PPD for starting pitchers, 1.8+ for hitters
- Vegas implied team totals correlate with hitter performance
- Stack 3-5 hitters from same team for correlated upside
- Catcher is a scarce position - premium Cs provide edge
- Weather (wind, temperature) significantly impacts MLB scoring
- Handedness matchups (L vs R) affect projections
Frequently Asked Questions
Common MLB DFS questions
How do I evaluate MLB pitcher value?
Look at K rate, opponent strikeout rate, park factors, and Vegas game total. Aces in high-K matchups with win potential provide the best value. Target 2.0+ PPD for mid-tier SPs and 1.8+ for premium aces (who have lower PPD but higher ceilings).
What makes a good MLB DFS stack?
Stack 3-5 hitters from a team facing a weak pitcher with favorable park factors and high implied team total (4.5+ runs). Include the top of the lineup for maximum plate appearances. Stacks provide correlated upside for GPPs.
How does weather affect MLB DFS?
Wind blowing out increases HR potential and scoring. Cold weather suppresses offense. High humidity helps carry balls. Always check weather - Coors Field and Wrigley are particularly weather-sensitive.
Is catcher worth paying up for in MLB DFS?
Yes, in certain situations. Premium catchers (top 3-5 in the league) provide significant edge due to position scarcity. The gap between an elite C and the average C is huge. Paying for elite Cs at 1.8+ PPD is often optimal.
How do handedness splits affect MLB value?
Most hitters perform better against opposite-handed pitchers. Check platoon splits - some hitters crush lefties while struggling vs righties. This affects both projections and ownership, creating leverage opportunities.
How this works
Calculations follow the published mathematics of the game — combinatorics for cards, probability theory for dice, and expected-value accounting for wagers. Results are verified against independent references (primarily Wizard of Odds). No calculation here is an opinion or recommendation; it is arithmetic applied to the rules of the game.
What this tool can’t do
When to consult a professional
This tool computes probability and expected value. It is not a betting system and cannot predict the outcome of any individual wager. If gambling is causing problems for you or someone you know, call the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-GAMBLER.
Sources
- [1]Wizard of Odds — Michael Shackleford, ASAIndustrywizardofodds.comAccessed Apr 21, 2026
Actuary; widely cited casino-game probability reference. Used for house-edge and EV verification.
- [2]National Council on Problem GamblingOfficial sourcencpgambling.orgAccessed Apr 21, 2026
Responsible-gambling guidance and 1-800-GAMBLER helpline.
Joseph OrdunaFounder & Software Engineer
Full-stack software engineer specializing in embedded systems, web architecture, and AI/ML. Founder of Practical Web Tools. Built the gesture-controlled drone IP acquired by KD Interactive (Aura Drone, sold on Amazon).