Craps Don't Come Calculator: The Contrarian Bet (2026)
Craps Don't Come Calculator: Betting with the House
Don't come bets are the contrarian's choice—winning when shooters lose. Our calculator shows don't come odds, laying odds strategy, and why this slightly-better-edge bet faces social challenges at the craps table.
What Is a Don't Come Bet?
Don't come is the opposite of come bets: you win if 2 or 3 rolls, push on 12 (bar 12), and lose on 7 or 11. Any other number becomes your "don't come point"—you win if 7 rolls before your point. You're betting against the shooter.
Quick Answer: Don't come = opposite of come bet. Win on 2/3 (2.78%), push on 12 (2.78%), lose on 7/11 (22.22%). House edge: 1.36% (slightly better than pass/come at 1.41%). Can lay odds (true odds, 0% edge). Called "wrong" or "dark side" betting. Socially unpopular—you're rooting for 7 while others want points made.
How to Use Our Calculator
Use the Don't Come Calculator →
Enter bet details to see probabilities and expected value.
Step-by-Step Instructions
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Enter Don't Come Bet: Base wager
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View Initial Outcome: Probabilities
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Set Point Established: If applicable
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Add Lay Odds: True odds bet
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Calculate Total EV: Combined expected value
Input Fields Explained
| Field | Description | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Don't Come Bet | Base wager | $10 |
| Initial Win | 2 or 3 | 8.33% |
| Initial Lose | 7 or 11 | 22.22% |
| Bar (Push) | 12 | 2.78% |
| Point Made | Establishes | 66.67% |
| House Edge | Casino advantage | 1.36% |
Don't Come Mechanics
Initial Roll Resolution
Don't come bet placed
Next roll determines:
Win immediately:
2 (1/36) or 3 (2/36) = 8.33%
Lose immediately:
7 (6/36) or 11 (2/36) = 22.22%
Push (bar 12):
12 (1/36) = 2.78%
Point established:
4,5,6,8,9,10 = 66.67%
After Point Established
Your number becomes don't come point
Bet moves to number box (behind)
Waiting for:
7 rolls: YOU WIN
Point repeats: YOU LOSE
This is "wrong" betting
You want 7, others don't
Laying Odds on Don't Come
How Lay Odds Work
After don't come point established:
Can place lay odds (bet more)
Lay odds = betting MORE to win less
Because you're favored after point
Payout structure:
Point 4/10: Lay 2 to win 1 (2:1)
Point 5/9: Lay 3 to win 2 (3:2)
Point 6/8: Lay 6 to win 5 (6:5)
House edge on lay odds: 0%
Lay Odds Strategy
Example: $10 don't come, point is 4
Without lay odds:
Win: 66.67% chance at $10
With $20 lay odds (2:1):
Win: 66.67% chance at $20 total
($10 DC + $10 lay odds win)
Lay odds improve returns
Same 0% edge as taking odds
Probability Breakdown
Point Resolution Odds
Don't come point of 4:
Ways to make 4: 3
Ways to roll 7: 6
Win probability: 6/9 = 66.67%
Don't come point of 5:
Ways to make 5: 4
Ways to roll 7: 6
Win probability: 6/10 = 60%
Don't come point of 6:
Ways to make 6: 5
Ways to roll 7: 6
Win probability: 6/11 = 54.55%
House Edge Calculation
Don't come:
Win on 2: 1/36
Win on 3: 2/36
Push on 12: 1/36 (bar)
Lose on 7: 6/36
Lose on 11: 2/36
Point established: 24/36
Combined EV through all outcomes:
House edge = 1.36%
Slightly better than pass line (1.41%)!
Real-World Examples
Example 1: Basic Don't Come Bet
Scenario: $10 don't come bet
Roll 1: 5 rolls
Don't come point: 5
Bet moves to don't come 5 box
Waiting for 7 or 5
Roll 2: 9 rolls
Nothing—not your point, not 7
Roll 3: 7 rolls
Seven! You win $10
Point wasn't made
Don't come wins
Example 2: Multiple Don't Come Bets
Strategy: Keep betting don't come
Roll 1: $10 don't come, rolls 8
Don't come point: 8
Roll 2: $10 don't come, rolls 5
Don't come point: 5
Now have two working don't come bets
Roll 3: $10 don't come, rolls 7
Instant loss on new don't come
But 7 wins both previous bets!
Win: $10 + $10 = $20
Lose: $10 (the new one)
Net: +$10
Example 3: Laying Odds Calculation
Bet: $10 don't come, point of 6
Without lay odds:
Win: 54.55% × $10 = $5.45
Lose: 45.45% × $10 = -$4.55
EV: +$0.90 (expected from just point resolution)
With $30 lay odds (6:5):
Win: 54.55% × ($10 + $25) = $19.09
Lose: 45.45% × ($10 + $30) = -$18.18
Larger amounts at stake
Same positive EV, reduced house edge percentage
Example 4: Seven Out Impact
Situation: Pass line and don't come active
Pass line: $10 on point 8
Don't come: $10 on point 5
Don't come: $10 on point 9
7 rolls:
Pass line: LOSES $10
Don't come 5: WINS $10
Don't come 9: WINS $10
Net: +$10
Opposite outcomes offset
Don't Come vs Come Comparison
House Edge
Come bet: 1.41%
Don't come: 1.36%
Difference: 0.05%
Small but real advantage
Why different?
Bar 12 = push (not win)
That 1/36 protects casino slightly less
Win Rate Perception
Come bet:
Wins 22.22% immediately (7/11)
Point wins ~27%
Total win rate: ~49%
Don't come:
Wins 8.33% immediately (2/3)
Point resolution wins ~40%
Total win rate: ~48.5%
Don't come wins less often
But wins bigger on average
Same house edge impact
Social Considerations
The "Wrong Bettor" Label
Craps culture:
Table cheers when shooter makes points
Wrong bettors win when 7 rolls
Reality:
Mathematically valid strategy
Slightly better edge
Your money, your choice
Table Etiquette
Tips:
- Don't celebrate others' losses
- Keep reactions subdued
- Know you might face comments
- Some tables more tolerant
Alternative:
Play at empty tables
Play online
Accept the social cost
Common Mistakes
1. Not Laying Odds
Mistake: Don't come without lay odds Problem: Missing 0% edge opportunity Fix: Always lay when able
2. Laying Too Much
Mistake: Huge lay odds relative to bankroll Problem: Variance can be brutal Fix: Size appropriately
3. Arguing with Table
Mistake: Defend wrong betting vocally Problem: Creates hostile environment Fix: Bet quietly, collect quietly
4. Confusing with Don't Pass
Mistake: Think don't come = don't pass Problem: Similar but different timing Fix: Don't pass = before come out; don't come = after
Frequently Asked Questions
Is don't come betting smarter?
Mathematically, 1.36% beats 1.41%. Practically, the difference is negligible. Play what's comfortable.
Why is 12 barred instead of 2?
Casino choice. Some tables bar 2 instead. Result is the same—one tie outcome instead of player win.
Can I remove don't come bets?
Unlike come bets, yes. You can take down don't come bets (you're giving up advantage). Usually unwise to do so.
Why would I give up an advantaged position?
You wouldn't normally. But some players remove if they feel "heat" or change strategy.
Are lay odds different from taking odds?
Opposite betting direction. Lay = risk more to win less (when you're favored). Take = risk less to win more.
Is the dark side profitable?
Same long-term expectation as right-side betting. 1.36% edge still means house wins. Just different experience.
Pro Tips
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Lay full odds: Best additional bet in casino
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Quiet wins: Don't antagonize the table
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Know your math: 1.36% is real but small
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Multiple don't comes: 7 sweeps all points
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Bar understanding: 12 pushes, not wins
Related Calculators
- Craps Come Bet Calculator - Opposite strategy
- Craps Don't Pass Calculator - Similar dark side
- Craps Odds Calculator - All probabilities
- Craps Pass Line Calculator - Standard betting
- House Edge Calculator - Edge comparison
Conclusion
Don't come bets offer a slight mathematical edge over come bets—1.36% versus 1.41%. Our calculator shows the probabilities, lay odds calculations, and why contrarian craps betting is mathematically valid despite social challenges.
Calculate Don't Come Odds Now →
Betting "wrong" isn't wrong mathematically—it's marginally better. Our calculator quantifies the don't come advantage, helping you understand when betting against the shooter makes mathematical sense even if it doesn't make friends at the table.