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Sports Teaser Bet Calculator: Points & Payouts Analysis (2026)

Practical Web Tools Team
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Sports Teaser Bet Calculator: Points & Payouts Analysis (2026)

Sports Teaser Bet Calculator: Move the Line Your Way

Teasers let you move the point spread in your favor across multiple games—but at reduced odds. Our calculator shows when teasers offer better value than parlays and how point adjustments affect your win probability.

What Is a Teaser Bet?

A teaser is a parlay where you adjust the point spread by a fixed number (usually 6, 6.5, or 7 points) in your favor on all legs. In exchange for easier wins, the payout is reduced compared to standard parlays.

Quick Answer: A 2-team 6-point NFL teaser at -110 can be +EV when crossing key numbers (3 and 7). Moving +1 to +7 or -8.5 to -2.5 crosses both 3 and 7, dramatically improving win probability. The "Wong teaser" strategy (only teasing through 3 and 7) shows long-term profit in NFL markets. Basketball teasers are generally -EV due to point distribution differences.

How to Use Our Calculator

Use the Sports Teaser Calculator →

Enter teams and spreads to see teaser payouts and expected value.

Step-by-Step Instructions

  1. Enter Original Spreads: Pre-teaser lines

  2. Select Teaser Size: 6, 6.5, or 7 points

  3. Set Number of Teams: 2-team, 3-team, etc.

  4. View Adjusted Spreads: Your teased lines

  5. See Payout and EV: Expected value analysis

Input Fields Explained

Field Description Example
Original Spread Line before teaser -7.5
Teaser Points Adjustment 6 points
Adjusted Spread Your new line -1.5
Number of Teams Legs in teaser 2
Payout If all win -110
Win Probability Both adjusted ~72%

Standard Teaser Payouts

2-Team Teasers

Points Payout
6 points -110 to -120
6.5 points -120 to -130
7 points -130 to -140

3-Team Teasers

Points Payout
6 points +150 to +180
6.5 points +140 to +160
7 points +120 to +140

4-Team Teasers

Points Payout
6 points +250 to +300
6.5 points +200 to +250
7 points +180 to +200

The Wong Teaser Strategy

What Makes a Wong Teaser?

Wong Teaser criteria (NFL only):
1. 2-team, 6-point teaser at -110
2. Both legs cross through 3 AND 7
3. Favorite between -7.5 and -8.5
4. Underdog between +1.5 and +2.5

After 6-point tease:
-7.5 → -1.5 (crosses 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2)
+1.5 → +7.5 (crosses 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)

Why 3 and 7 Matter (NFL)

Margin Frequency
3 points 15.4%
7 points 9.1%
6 points 4.2%
4 points 3.8%
10 points 3.5%
Games landing on 3: ~15% of NFL games
Games landing on 7: ~9% of NFL games

Crossing both 3 AND 7:
Captures ~25% of games that would be push/loss

Wong Teaser Expected Value

Assume each leg ~72% to cover:
P(both win) = 0.72 × 0.72 = 51.8%

Break-even at -110: 52.4%
Wong teaser estimate: 72% × 72% = 51.8%

Close to break-even, possibly +EV with good selection

Teaser vs Parlay Comparison

2-Team Example

Parlay (-110 each leg):

  • Payout: +264
  • Win prob: 50% × 50% = 25%
  • EV: (0.25 × 264) - 100 = -34

Teaser (6-point, -110):

  • Payout: -110
  • Win prob: ~72% × 72% = 51.8%
  • EV: (0.518 × 191) - 100 = -1.1

Teaser is much better EV when properly constructed

When Parlays Beat Teasers

Situation Better Bet
Moneylines (no spread) Parlay
Heavy favorites Parlay
Basketball Often parlay
Prop bets Can't tease
No key numbers crossed Parlay

Sport-Specific Analysis

NFL Teasers (Best Value)

Spread Range Teaser Value
-7.5 to -8.5 → -1.5 to -2.5 Excellent
+1.5 to +2.5 → +7.5 to +8.5 Excellent
-3 to -3.5 → +2.5 to +3 Good
+9 to +10 → +15 to +16 Poor

NBA Teasers (Lower Value)

NBA point distribution different:
- Less clustering at 3 and 7
- More blowouts
- Higher variance

Standard teaser value: Usually -EV
Exception: Totals crossing 200

College Football Teasers

Similar to NFL but:
- More variance
- Larger margins of victory
- Key numbers still matter
- Generally worse value than NFL

Real-World Examples

Example 1: Perfect Wong Teaser

Game 1: Patriots -7.5 Game 2: Jets +2

After 6-point tease:

  • Patriots -1.5 (crossed 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2)
  • Jets +8 (crossed 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8)

Payout: -110 Estimated win prob: ~72% each Combined prob: ~52%

EV: Approximately break-even or slightly positive

Example 2: Bad Teaser

Game 1: Chiefs -13.5 Game 2: Vikings +10

After 6-point tease:

  • Chiefs -7.5 (doesn't cross 7)
  • Vikings +16 (already covered most games)

Problem: Not crossing key numbers efficiently Better play: Standard parlay or pass

Example 3: 3-Team Teaser

Games: Three favorites at -7.5, -8, -7.5 After 6-point tease: -1.5, -2, -1.5 Payout: +180

Analysis:

Each leg ~72% to cover
P(all 3 win) = 0.72³ = 37.3%
EV = (0.373 × 280) - 100 = +4.4

Marginal positive EV if numbers are right

Teaser Math

Break-Even Win Rate

Teams Payout Break-Even
2 at -110 91% return 52.4%
2 at -120 83% return 54.5%
3 at +180 280% return 35.7%
3 at +150 250% return 40.0%

Required Single-Leg Win Rate

2-team teaser at -110:
Need combined 52.4%
√0.524 = 72.4% per leg

Each leg must cover >72% to be +EV

Win Probability by Spread Adjustment

Original Teased 6 Approx Win %
-7.5 -1.5 72%
-3 +3 70%
+3 +9 75%
+7 +13 78%
-14 -8 63%

Common Teaser Mistakes

1. Teasing the Wrong Numbers

Mistake: Teasing -3 to +3 Problem: Only crosses one key number (3) Fix: Find spreads that cross both 3 and 7

2. Too Many Legs

Mistake: 5-team or 6-team teasers Problem: Even small edges compound against you Fix: Stick to 2-team or 3-team max

3. Basketball Teasers

Mistake: Applying NFL strategy to NBA Problem: Point distribution different Fix: Generally avoid NBA spread teasers

4. Ignoring the Vig

Mistake: -130 teasers instead of -110 Problem: Vig destroys any edge Fix: Shop for -110 or better

Advanced Teaser Concepts

Sweetheart Teasers (10+ points)

Sweetheart: 10-13 point teasers
Much lower payouts
Rarely good value

Example 10-point 3-team: -110
Need all three at ~72% = 37% combined
But payout break-even: 52%

Generally -EV

Monster Teasers

More teams (4+) at larger points
Attractive payouts
Usually poor value
Edge compounds against you

Teaser Key Number Crossing

Cross Value Added
Through 3 ~15% games
Through 7 ~9% games
Through 3 AND 7 Optimal
Neither Poor value

Frequently Asked Questions

Are teasers better than parlays?

For NFL spreads crossing 3 and 7, yes. For most other situations, parlays or straight bets are better value.

What's the best teaser size?

6 points in NFL at -110. Crossing key numbers is more important than extra points at worse odds.

Do books like teaser bets?

Generally yes—most recreational bettors choose poorly. Sharp Wong-style teasers can get limited.

Can I tease totals?

Yes, but value is inconsistent. Key numbers for totals are less pronounced than spreads.

What about ties in teasers?

Most books: Tie reduces teaser (3-team becomes 2-team). Some: Ties lose. Check your book's rules.

Are super teasers worth it?

Usually no. More points at worse odds. The math rarely works in your favor.

Pro Tips

  • Focus on NFL: Best teaser value by far

  • Cross 3 AND 7: Both key numbers matter

  • Stick to 2-team: Edge degrades with more legs

  • Shop for -110: Vig kills marginal edges

  • Avoid basketball teasers: Different point distribution

Conclusion

Teasers offer unique value when constructed properly—specifically, 2-team NFL 6-point teasers at -110 crossing both 3 and 7. Our calculator shows which spread combinations create potential edge and which destroy value. Understand key numbers, stick to NFL spreads, and avoid the trap of adding more legs for better-looking payouts.

Calculate Teaser Value Now →

The Wong teaser revolutionized sports betting strategy by identifying when point adjustments create actual edge. Our calculator helps you find those spots, showing which spreads benefit most from teasing and what your true expected value is. Master teaser math and add another tool to your sports betting arsenal.

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