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Probability Tables for Every Casino Game: Quick Reference Guide (2026)

Practical Web Tools Team
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Probability Tables for Every Casino Game: Quick Reference Guide (2026)

Most casino gamblers have never seen the actual probability tables for the games they play. They know roughly that "the house has an edge" but could not tell you whether a Place 6 bet in craps is better or worse than a Banker bet in baccarat, or what the actual probability of being dealt a natural blackjack is. These numbers exist, they are not secrets, and knowing them transforms the way you approach every table in the casino.

This guide compiles the complete probability tables for every major casino game into a single reference. Every bet, every probability, every payout ratio, and every house edge. You can use these tables to compare bets across games, calculate your expected losses for any session, and make informed decisions about where to put your money.

These are not estimates or approximations. These are the exact mathematical probabilities derived from the combinatorial analysis of each game. The casinos know these numbers intimately. Now you will too.

Verify any of these probabilities with our free Roulette Odds Calculator, Craps Odds Calculator, Baccarat Odds Calculator, and Blackjack House Edge Calculator.

How to Use These Tables

Before diving into the numbers, here is what each column means:

Column Definition
Bet The specific wager
Win Probability Chance of winning this bet (decimal and percentage)
True Odds Fair payout ratio based on actual probability
Payout What the casino actually pays
House Edge The casino's mathematical advantage
EV per $100 Expected loss per $100 wagered

The house edge exists because the casino pays less than the true odds on every winning bet. This gap between what they should pay (true odds) and what they actually pay (payout) is the source of all casino revenue.

Expected Loss Calculation

To calculate your expected loss for any session:

Expected Loss = Total Wagered x House Edge

Total Wagered = Bet Size x Bets Per Hour x Hours Played

Example: $25 bets on roulette, 35 spins/hour, 4 hours:

  • Total wagered: $25 x 35 x 4 = $3,500
  • Expected loss: $3,500 x 5.26% = $184.10

Calculate expected losses instantly with our Expected Value Calculator.

Roulette Probability Tables

American Roulette (38 Pockets: 1-36, 0, 00)

Even-Money (Outside) Bets

Bet Win Probability True Odds Payout House Edge EV per $100
Red 18/38 = 47.37% 1.111:1 1:1 5.26% -$5.26
Black 18/38 = 47.37% 1.111:1 1:1 5.26% -$5.26
Odd 18/38 = 47.37% 1.111:1 1:1 5.26% -$5.26
Even 18/38 = 47.37% 1.111:1 1:1 5.26% -$5.26
1-18 (Low) 18/38 = 47.37% 1.111:1 1:1 5.26% -$5.26
19-36 (High) 18/38 = 47.37% 1.111:1 1:1 5.26% -$5.26

Dozen and Column Bets

Bet Win Probability True Odds Payout House Edge EV per $100
1st Dozen (1-12) 12/38 = 31.58% 2.167:1 2:1 5.26% -$5.26
2nd Dozen (13-24) 12/38 = 31.58% 2.167:1 2:1 5.26% -$5.26
3rd Dozen (25-36) 12/38 = 31.58% 2.167:1 2:1 5.26% -$5.26
Column 1 12/38 = 31.58% 2.167:1 2:1 5.26% -$5.26
Column 2 12/38 = 31.58% 2.167:1 2:1 5.26% -$5.26
Column 3 12/38 = 31.58% 2.167:1 2:1 5.26% -$5.26

Inside Bets

Bet Numbers Covered Win Probability True Odds Payout House Edge EV per $100
Straight Up 1 1/38 = 2.63% 37:1 35:1 5.26% -$5.26
Split 2 2/38 = 5.26% 18:1 17:1 5.26% -$5.26
Street 3 3/38 = 7.89% 11.67:1 11:1 5.26% -$5.26
Corner 4 4/38 = 10.53% 8.5:1 8:1 5.26% -$5.26
Five-Number 5 5/38 = 13.16% 6.6:1 6:1 7.89% -$7.89
Line (Double Street) 6 6/38 = 15.79% 5.33:1 5:1 5.26% -$5.26

Note: The five-number bet (0, 00, 1, 2, 3) is the only American roulette bet with a different (higher) house edge. Avoid it.

Explore all roulette probabilities interactively with our Roulette Odds Calculator and see exact payouts with our Roulette Payout Calculator.

European Roulette (37 Pockets: 1-36, 0)

Bet Win Probability Payout House Edge EV per $100
Even-Money (Red, Black, etc.) 18/37 = 48.65% 1:1 2.70% -$2.70
Dozen/Column 12/37 = 32.43% 2:1 2.70% -$2.70
Straight Up 1/37 = 2.70% 35:1 2.70% -$2.70
Split 2/37 = 5.41% 17:1 2.70% -$2.70
Street 3/37 = 8.11% 11:1 2.70% -$2.70
Corner 4/37 = 10.81% 8:1 2.70% -$2.70
Line 6/37 = 16.22% 5:1 2.70% -$2.70

European Roulette with La Partage or En Prison

Bet Win Probability House Edge EV per $100
Even-Money with La Partage 48.65% (half returned on 0) 1.35% -$1.35
Even-Money with En Prison 48.65% (imprisoned on 0) 1.35% -$1.35

La Partage and En Prison rules cut the even-money house edge in half, making European roulette with these rules one of the best bets in the casino.

Compare all roulette variants with our Roulette House Edge Calculator and Roulette Probability Calculator.

Roulette Streak Probabilities

Streak American (per color) European (per color)
2 in a row 22.44% 23.67%
3 in a row 10.63% 11.52%
5 in a row 2.39% 2.72%
7 in a row 0.54% 0.64%
10 in a row 0.054% 0.070%
15 in a row 0.001% 0.002%
20 in a row 0.00003% 0.00005%

Simulate roulette streaks with our Roulette Betting Simulator.

Craps Probability Tables

Come-Out Roll Probabilities

Roll Result Probability Outcome
2 (Snake Eyes) 1/36 = 2.78% Pass Loses / Don't Pass Wins
3 2/36 = 5.56% Pass Loses / Don't Pass Wins
7 6/36 = 16.67% Pass Wins / Don't Pass Loses
11 (Yo) 2/36 = 5.56% Pass Wins / Don't Pass Loses
12 (Boxcars) 1/36 = 2.78% Pass Loses / Don't Pass Pushes
4 (Point) 3/36 = 8.33% Point Established
5 (Point) 4/36 = 11.11% Point Established
6 (Point) 5/36 = 13.89% Point Established
8 (Point) 5/36 = 13.89% Point Established
9 (Point) 4/36 = 11.11% Point Established
10 (Point) 3/36 = 8.33% Point Established

Point Resolution Probabilities

Point Ways to Make Ways for 7 Win Probability True Odds Against
4 3 6 3/9 = 33.33% 2:1
5 4 6 4/10 = 40.00% 3:2
6 5 6 5/11 = 45.45% 6:5
8 5 6 5/11 = 45.45% 6:5
9 4 6 4/10 = 40.00% 3:2
10 3 6 3/9 = 33.33% 2:1

Complete Craps Bet Analysis

Bet Win Probability True Odds Payout House Edge EV per $100
Pass Line 49.29% 1.028:1 1:1 1.41% -$1.41
Don't Pass 47.93%* 1.029:1 1:1 1.36% -$1.36
Come 49.29% 1.028:1 1:1 1.41% -$1.41
Don't Come 47.93%* 1.029:1 1:1 1.36% -$1.36
Pass/Come Odds Varies True odds True odds 0.00% $0.00
Don't Pass/Come Odds Varies True odds True odds 0.00% $0.00
Place 6 45.45% 6:5 7:6 1.52% -$1.52
Place 8 45.45% 6:5 7:6 1.52% -$1.52
Place 5 40.00% 3:2 7:5 4.00% -$4.00
Place 9 40.00% 3:2 7:5 4.00% -$4.00
Place 4 33.33% 2:1 9:5 6.67% -$6.67
Place 10 33.33% 2:1 9:5 6.67% -$6.67
Buy 4 (5% vig) 33.33% 2:1 2:1 - 5% 4.76% -$4.76
Buy 10 (5% vig) 33.33% 2:1 2:1 - 5% 4.76% -$4.76
Lay 4 (5% vig) 66.67% 1:2 1:2 - 5% 2.44% -$2.44
Lay 10 (5% vig) 66.67% 1:2 1:2 - 5% 2.44% -$2.44
Field (2x on 12) 44.44% 1.25:1 Varies 5.56% -$5.56
Field (3x on 12) 44.44% 1.25:1 Varies 2.78% -$2.78
Big 6 45.45% 6:5 1:1 9.09% -$9.09
Big 8 45.45% 6:5 1:1 9.09% -$9.09
Hard 4 1/36 = 2.78% 8:1 7:1 11.11% -$11.11
Hard 10 1/36 = 2.78% 8:1 7:1 11.11% -$11.11
Hard 6 1/36 = 2.78% 10:1 9:1 9.09% -$9.09
Hard 8 1/36 = 2.78% 10:1 9:1 9.09% -$9.09
Any 7 6/36 = 16.67% 5:1 4:1 16.67% -$16.67
Any Craps 4/36 = 11.11% 8:1 7:1 11.11% -$11.11
Yo (11) 2/36 = 5.56% 17:1 15:1 11.11% -$11.11
Snake Eyes (2) 1/36 = 2.78% 35:1 30:1 13.89% -$13.89
Boxcars (12) 1/36 = 2.78% 35:1 30:1 13.89% -$13.89
Horn (2,3,11,12) 4/36 = 11.11% Varies Varies 12.50% -$12.50
Hop (easy) 2/36 = 5.56% 17:1 15:1 11.11% -$11.11
Hop (hard) 1/36 = 2.78% 35:1 30:1 13.89% -$13.89

*Don't Pass: 47.93% win, 49.30% lose, 2.78% push (12 on come-out). House edge calculated on resolved bets.

Verify every craps number with our Craps Odds Calculator and see payouts with our Craps Payout Calculator.

Combined Pass + Odds House Edge

Odds Offered Combined House Edge EV per $100 Total Bet
No odds 1.41% -$1.41
1x 0.85% -$0.85
2x 0.61% -$0.61
3-4-5x 0.37% -$0.37
5x 0.33% -$0.33
10x 0.18% -$0.18
20x 0.10% -$0.10
100x 0.02% -$0.02

Calculate your exact combined craps edge with our Craps House Edge Calculator.

Blackjack Probability Tables

Key Hand Probabilities

Event Probability
Being dealt a natural blackjack (A + 10-value) 4.83% (about 1 in 21 hands)
Dealer natural blackjack 4.83%
Both player and dealer blackjack (push) 0.23%
Player busting on hit to hard 12 30.77% (4/13)
Player busting on hit to hard 13 38.46% (5/13)
Player busting on hit to hard 14 46.15% (6/13)
Player busting on hit to hard 15 53.85% (7/13)
Player busting on hit to hard 16 61.54% (8/13)
Player busting on hit to hard 17+ 69.23%+
Dealer busting (overall) ~28.36%

Dealer Final Hand Probabilities (Stand on Soft 17)

Dealer Final Hand Probability
Natural Blackjack 4.83%
21 (non-natural) 7.36%
20 17.58%
19 13.48%
18 13.81%
17 14.58%
Bust 28.36%

Dealer Bust Probability by Upcard

Dealer Upcard Bust Probability Player Advantage
2 35.30% Low
3 37.56% Low
4 40.28% Medium
5 42.89% Medium-High
6 42.08% Medium-High
7 25.99% Neutral
8 23.86% Low (dealer)
9 23.34% Low (dealer)
10/J/Q/K 21.43% Dealer advantage
Ace 11.65% Strong dealer

This is why basic strategy says to be more aggressive (double down, split) against dealer 4, 5, and 6, where bust rates are highest.

House Edge by Common Rule Variations

Rule Configuration House Edge EV per $100
Single deck, 3:2, S17, DAS 0.17% -$0.17
6 deck, 3:2, S17, DAS 0.40% -$0.40
6 deck, 3:2, H17, DAS 0.64% -$0.64
8 deck, 3:2, S17, DAS 0.43% -$0.43
6 deck, 6:5, S17, DAS 1.79% -$1.79
6 deck, 6:5, H17, DAS 2.03% -$2.03
CSM (Continuous Shuffler), 3:2, S17 ~0.40% -$0.40

Key: S17 = Stand on Soft 17, H17 = Hit on Soft 17, DAS = Double After Split

Find exact house edge for your table's specific rules with our Blackjack House Edge Calculator.

Insurance Bet Analysis

Scenario Probability Outcome
Dealer has blackjack (insurance wins) 30.77% (4/13) Pays 2:1
Dealer does not have blackjack 69.23% (9/13) Insurance lost
House edge on insurance 7.47% Always a bad bet

Insurance is one of the worst standard bets in blackjack. The only exception is for card counters who know the remaining deck is rich in tens.

Baccarat Probability Tables

Main Bet Outcomes

Outcome Probability True Odds Payout House Edge EV per $100
Banker Win 45.86% 1.18:1 0.95:1 (5% comm.) 1.06% -$1.06
Player Win 44.62% 1.24:1 1:1 1.24% -$1.24
Tie 9.52% 9.51:1 8:1 14.36% -$14.36

Baccarat with No Commission Variants

Variant Banker Pays House Edge (Banker) House Edge (Player)
Standard (5% comm.) 0.95:1 1.06% 1.24%
No Commission (push on Banker 6) 1:1 (0.5:1 on 6) 1.46% 1.24%
EZ Baccarat (push Banker 3-card 7) 1:1 1.02% 1.24%

Baccarat Point Total Distribution

Point Total Banker Probability Player Probability
0 8.47% 8.81%
1 8.54% 8.75%
2 8.75% 9.52%
3 9.68% 9.66%
4 10.43% 10.10%
5 10.40% 9.41%
6 11.71% 11.79%
7 12.73% 12.65%
8 9.88% 9.65%
9 9.41% 9.66%

Side Bet Probabilities (Common)

Side Bet Win Probability Typical Payout Typical House Edge
Player Pair 7.47% 11:1 10.36%
Banker Pair 7.47% 11:1 10.36%
Either Pair 14.54% 5:1 12.78%
Perfect Pair 3.34% 25:1 13.03%
Dragon 7 (EZ) 2.25% 40:1 7.61%
Panda 8 (EZ) 3.55% 25:1 7.63%

Calculate all baccarat probabilities with our Baccarat Odds Calculator and compare house edges with our Baccarat House Edge Calculator.

Video Poker Probability Tables

Jacks or Better Hand Frequencies (52-Card Deck)

Hand Probability Expected Frequency 9/6 Payout 8/5 Payout
Royal Flush 0.00248% 1 in 40,391 800 for 1 800 for 1
Straight Flush 0.01093% 1 in 9,148 50 for 1 50 for 1
Four of a Kind 0.02363% 1 in 4,231 25 for 1 25 for 1
Full House 1.15128% 1 in 87 9 for 1 8 for 1
Flush 1.10147% 1 in 91 6 for 1 5 for 1
Straight 1.12268% 1 in 89 4 for 1 4 for 1
Three of a Kind 7.44490% 1 in 13 3 for 1 3 for 1
Two Pair 12.92790% 1 in 8 2 for 1 2 for 1
Jacks or Better 21.45850% 1 in 5 1 for 1 1 for 1
Nothing 54.75623% 1 in 2 0 0

Note: These are optimal-strategy frequencies. Actual frequencies vary based on hold/discard decisions.

Video Poker Pay Table Comparison (Per Coin, Max Coins)

Pay Table Name FH/FL RTP House Edge
9/6 Jacks or Better (Full Pay) 9/6 99.54% 0.46%
9/5 Jacks or Better 9/5 98.45% 1.55%
8/6 Jacks or Better 8/6 98.39% 1.61%
8/5 Jacks or Better 8/5 97.30% 2.70%
7/5 Jacks or Better 7/5 96.15% 3.85%
6/5 Jacks or Better 6/5 95.00% 5.00%
10/7 Double Bonus 10/7 100.17% -0.17% (player edge!)
9/6 Double Double Bonus 9/6 98.98% 1.02%
Full Pay Deuces Wild - 100.76% -0.76% (player edge!)

Critical insight: 10/7 Double Bonus and Full Pay Deuces Wild actually have a positive expected value for the player with perfect strategy. These machines are extremely rare but do exist.

Compare pay tables and find the best machines with our Video Poker Pay Table Analyzer and Video Poker Odds Calculator.

Royal Flush Wait Times

Hands Per Hour Expected Hands for Royal Expected Hours Expected Days (8hr/day)
400 (fast online) 40,391 101 hours 12.5 days
600 (very fast online) 40,391 67 hours 8.4 days
300 (average live) 40,391 135 hours 16.9 days

At max coins ($1.25 per hand) on a Jacks or Better machine, the Royal Flush pays $1,000 (800 x $1.25). You will hit one approximately every 40,391 hands, or roughly once every 100-135 hours of play.

Game-by-Game Cost Comparison

Expected Loss Per Hour ($25 Average Bet)

Game Bets/Hour House Edge Hourly Loss Monthly (20 hrs) Annual
Craps (Pass + 5x Odds) 30 0.33% $2.48 $49.50 $594
Video Poker (9/6 JoB) 400 0.46% $46.00* $920* $11,040*
Blackjack (BS, 3:2) 80 0.50% $10.00 $200 $2,400
Baccarat (Banker) 70 1.06% $18.55 $371 $4,452
Craps (Pass only) 30 1.41% $10.58 $211 $2,535
Baccarat (Player) 70 1.24% $21.70 $434 $5,208
Roulette (European) 35 2.70% $23.63 $473 $5,670
Roulette (American) 35 5.26% $46.03 $921 $11,046
Slots (typical) 600 8.00% $120.00** $2,400** $28,800**

*Video poker at $1.25/hand (max coin), not $25. At $25 average play, VP costs would be much higher. **Slots at $0.50-$3.00/spin average. At $25 equivalent, costs scale proportionally.

Calculate your personal expected losses with our Expected Value Calculator and track them with our Bankroll Volatility Tracker.

Cost Per Entertainment Hour Comparison

Activity Typical Cost Per Hour
Craps with full odds $2-5
Video Poker (full pay, $1.25/hand) $3-8
Blackjack (basic strategy) $8-15
Movie theater $8-12
Mini golf $10-15
Baccarat $15-25
Concert $20-50
Roulette $25-50
Theme park $15-30
Slots $50-200+
Sports event (live) $30-100

When framed as entertainment cost, craps with odds and video poker are among the cheapest entertainment options available, while slots are among the most expensive.

How to Use These Tables Strategically

Step 1: Compare Before You Play

Before sitting down at any table, check the house edge in these tables. The difference between 0.37% (craps with odds) and 5.26% (American roulette) is massive. Over a weekend of play, that is the difference between losing $15 and losing $200.

Step 2: Calculate Your Session Budget

Use the expected loss formula: Budget = Bet Size x Bets/Hour x Hours x House Edge x Safety Factor

Use a safety factor of 2-3x the expected loss to account for variance. If your expected loss is $40, bring at least $80-120.

Step 3: Avoid the Worst Bets

These tables clearly show which bets to avoid:

  • Any 7 in craps: 16.67% house edge
  • Tie in baccarat: 14.36% house edge
  • Keno: 25-30% house edge
  • Big 6/Big 8 in craps: 9.09% (just place the 6 or 8 instead at 1.52%)
  • Insurance in blackjack: 7.47%
  • 5-number bet in roulette: 7.89%

Step 4: Maximize Odds and Optimal Strategy

  • In craps, always take maximum odds behind Pass/Come
  • In blackjack, learn and use basic strategy perfectly
  • In video poker, use a strategy card for your specific pay table
  • In baccarat, stick to Banker or Player bets only

Use our Hold/Vig Calculator for sports betting analysis and our Roulette House Edge Calculator for roulette comparison.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which casino game has the best odds for the player? Craps with Pass Line plus full odds offers the lowest combined house edge at approximately 0.37% (with 3-4-5x odds). Video poker on full-pay 9/6 Jacks or Better with perfect strategy is close at 0.46%. Blackjack with basic strategy comes in at approximately 0.50%. Use our Craps Odds Calculator to verify these numbers.

Which casino game has the worst odds? Among standard games, keno has the worst odds at 25-30% house edge. Among common table bets, Any 7 in craps at 16.67% and Tie in baccarat at 14.36% are the worst. Lottery scratchers and progressive side bets often exceed 30% house edge.

Do these probabilities change based on previous results? For roulette, craps, and slots, absolutely not. Each outcome is completely independent. For blackjack and baccarat (dealt from shoes), card removal technically changes probabilities slightly, but the effect is negligible in baccarat and only significant in blackjack for card counters.

Why does every roulette bet have the same house edge? Because the payout ratios are specifically designed to produce a uniform edge. The casino calculates payouts based on 36 numbers (ignoring zeros) but has 38 numbers on the wheel (American) or 37 (European). The missing 2 (or 1) units per 38 (or 37) spins create the house edge.

Are online casino probabilities the same as live casino probabilities? For standard games using proper random number generators, yes. The mathematical rules are the same. However, online slots may have different RTP settings than physical machines, and speed of play is typically faster online, increasing hourly expected losses.

How can I verify these numbers myself? Use our calculators to verify independently. The Roulette Odds Calculator, Craps Odds Calculator, and Baccarat Odds Calculator will confirm every number in these tables. The math is public knowledge; casinos do not hide it.

Should I always bet Banker in baccarat? Banker has the lowest house edge at 1.06%, making it the statistically optimal choice. However, the 5% commission on wins makes the practical difference between Banker (1.06%) and Player (1.24%) relatively small. Never bet Tie (14.36%).

What is the most important number in these tables? The house edge column. It tells you exactly how much each bet costs you per dollar wagered. Every other number (probability, payout) is interesting context, but the house edge is the bottom line that determines your expected loss.

Game-Specific Probability Calculators

Payout Calculators

House Edge and EV Tools

Conclusion

These probability tables represent the mathematical reality of every casino game. They are not opinions, predictions, or strategies. They are the objective, unchangeable laws that govern every spin, roll, and deal in the casino.

The most powerful takeaway from these tables is the enormous range of house edges available to you within a single casino. Walking from a craps table (0.37% with full odds) to a roulette table (5.26%) increases your expected cost by 14x. Switching from a Banker bet in baccarat (1.06%) to a Tie bet (14.36%) increases your cost by 13.5x. These are not small differences. Over a year of regular play, they represent thousands of dollars.

Armed with these numbers, you can make genuinely informed decisions about your casino entertainment. You can choose the cheapest games, avoid the most expensive bets, and budget accurately based on mathematical reality rather than hope or intuition.

Start by verifying these numbers with our Roulette Odds Calculator, Craps Odds Calculator, and Baccarat Odds Calculator. Calculate your personal expected losses with our Expected Value Calculator. And compare every game side by side using our Blackjack House Edge Calculator, Roulette House Edge Calculator, Craps House Edge Calculator, and Baccarat House Edge Calculator.

The numbers are on the table. Now you know exactly what they mean.

Gambling involves risk. This content is for educational and informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly, set limits you can afford, and seek help if gambling becomes a problem. Visit the National Council on Problem Gambling or call 1-800-522-4700 for support.

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