Craps Hardway Calculator: Doubles Betting Analysis (2026)
Craps Hardway Calculator: Betting on Doubles
Hardway bets wager that a number will roll as doubles before it rolls "easy" or before a 7. Our calculator shows the exact probability, payouts, and house edge for hard 4, 6, 8, and 10—revealing why these exciting bets are mathematically poor choices.
What Is a Hardway Bet?
A hardway bet wins when a number rolls as doubles (2-2, 3-3, 4-4, or 5-5) before rolling any other combination that totals that number or before a 7. Hard 6 (3-3) must appear before easy 6 (4-2, 5-1) or 7.
Quick Answer: Hardways are multi-roll bets on doubles. Hard 4 (2-2) and Hard 10 (5-5): pay 7:1, house edge 11.11%. Hard 6 (3-3) and Hard 8 (4-4): pay 9:1, house edge 9.09%. Stay active until won, lost to easy way, or lost to 7. Among worse craps bets but not the absolute worst.
How to Use Our Calculator
Enter hardway bet to see probability and expected value.
Step-by-Step Instructions
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Select Hardway: 4, 6, 8, or 10
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Enter Bet Amount: Your wager
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View Probability: Win/lose odds
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Calculate Payout: If won
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See House Edge: Casino advantage
Input Fields Explained
| Field | Description | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Hardway Number | 4, 6, 8, or 10 | Hard 8 |
| Bet Amount | Your wager | $5 |
| Ways to Win | Doubles combos | 1 (4-4) |
| Ways to Lose | Easy + 7 | 10 (8 easy + 6 sevens) |
| Probability | Win chance | 9.09% |
| House Edge | Casino advantage | 9.09% |
Hardway Probability Breakdown
Hard 4 (2-2)
Ways to roll hard 4: 1 (2-2)
Ways to roll easy 4: 2 (3-1, 1-3)
Ways to roll 7: 6
Win: 1 way
Lose: 8 ways (2 easy + 6 sevens)
Probability: 1/9 = 11.11%
Payout: 7:1
True odds: 8:1
House edge: 11.11%
Hard 6 (3-3)
Ways to roll hard 6: 1 (3-3)
Ways to roll easy 6: 4 (4-2, 2-4, 5-1, 1-5)
Ways to roll 7: 6
Win: 1 way
Lose: 10 ways (4 easy + 6 sevens)
Probability: 1/11 = 9.09%
Payout: 9:1
True odds: 10:1
House edge: 9.09%
Hard 8 (4-4)
Ways to roll hard 8: 1 (4-4)
Ways to roll easy 8: 4 (5-3, 3-5, 6-2, 2-6)
Ways to roll 7: 6
Win: 1 way
Lose: 10 ways (4 easy + 6 sevens)
Probability: 1/11 = 9.09%
Payout: 9:1
True odds: 10:1
House edge: 9.09%
Hard 10 (5-5)
Ways to roll hard 10: 1 (5-5)
Ways to roll easy 10: 2 (6-4, 4-6)
Ways to roll 7: 6
Win: 1 way
Lose: 8 ways (2 easy + 6 sevens)
Probability: 1/9 = 11.11%
Payout: 7:1
True odds: 8:1
House edge: 11.11%
Payout Analysis
Hard 4 and Hard 10
True odds: 8:1 (8 ways to lose vs 1 to win)
Casino pays: 7:1
Shortchange: 1 unit per 9 decisions
$5 bet:
Win: $35
Probability: 11.11%
Expected return: $35 × 0.1111 = $3.89
Lose: $5
Probability: 88.89%
Expected loss: $5 × 0.8889 = $4.44
Net EV: $3.89 - $4.44 = -$0.55
House edge: 11.11%
Hard 6 and Hard 8
True odds: 10:1 (10 ways to lose vs 1 to win)
Casino pays: 9:1
Shortchange: 1 unit per 11 decisions
$5 bet:
Win: $45
Probability: 9.09%
Expected return: $45 × 0.0909 = $4.09
Lose: $5
Probability: 90.91%
Expected loss: $5 × 0.9091 = $4.55
Net EV: $4.09 - $4.55 = -$0.46
House edge: 9.09%
Multi-Roll Dynamics
How Long Do Hardways Last?
Hard 4/10:
Decision every: 9/36 = 25% of rolls
Average rolls to resolution: 4
Hard 6/8:
Decision every: 11/36 = 30.6% of rolls
Average rolls to resolution: ~3.3
Hardways resolve relatively quickly
Not like place bets that continue
Come-Out Roll Behavior
Default: Hardways "off" on come-out
7 or 11 doesn't affect hardways
Can request "working":
Then 7 on come-out loses hardways
Most players leave them off
To protect during come-out
Hardways vs Other Craps Bets
House Edge Comparison
Best craps bets:
Pass/Don't Pass: 1.41%/1.36%
Come/Don't Come: 1.41%/1.36%
Place 6/8: 1.52%
Hardways:
Hard 6/8: 9.09%
Hard 4/10: 11.11%
Worse craps bets:
Any 7: 16.67%
Big 6/8: 9.09%
Why Players Make Hardways
Psychology:
- Exciting to root for doubles
- Higher payouts than place bets
- Multi-roll adds anticipation
Reality:
- 6-7× higher edge than pass line
- Most of the time you lose
- Entertainment, not strategy
Real-World Examples
Example 1: Hard 8 Session
Bet: $5 on hard 8, 20 resolutions
Expected results:
Wins: ~2 (9.09% × 20 = 1.8)
Losses: ~18
Wins: 2 × $45 = $90
Losses: 18 × $5 = $90
Break even? Just variance
Long-term: lose 9.09%
Example 2: All Hardways Working
Bet: $5 each on hard 4, 6, 8, 10 ($20 total)
Per roll:
Most rolls: No hardway decision
Some rolls: Hit or lose one bet
Hard 4 hit: +$35, others continue
Easy 8 rolls: -$5 on hard 8, others continue
7 rolls: -$20 (all hardways lose)
7 is the killer
Happens 6/36 = 16.67% of rolls
Example 3: Parlaying Hardways
Strategy: Let hardway winnings ride
Analysis:
Win hard 8: $45
Parlay to $50 on hard 8
Second hit probability: 9.09%
Both hits: 0.0909 × 0.0909 = 0.83%
99.17% of time: Eventually lose all
Exciting but mathematically poor
Example 4: Hop vs Hardway
Comparison: Hard 6 vs Hopping 3-3
Hard 6:
Multi-roll (until resolution)
9:1 payout
9.09% house edge
Hop 3-3:
Single roll only
30:1 payout
13.89% house edge
Hardway has better edge
But hop resolves immediately
Different bet structures
Strategy Considerations
When Players Use Hardways
Common situations:
- After point established
- As "hedge" with place bets
- For entertainment/tipping dealers
- When feeling lucky
None of these are strategic
All are entertainment spending
If You Must Play Hardways
Hard 6/8 slightly better: 9.09% vs 11.11%
Keep bets small: Entertainment, not investment
Turn off on come-out: Protect from 7
Don't chase: Accept losses
Common Mistakes
1. Thinking Hardways Protect Place Bets
Mistake: "If 7 hits, at least I win hard 6" Problem: 7 loses hardways too Fix: Hardways are not hedges
2. Always Working Hardways
Mistake: Keep working on come-out Problem: 7 wipes all hardways Fix: Leave off unless intentional
3. Betting All Four Hardways
Mistake: Cover all doubles Problem: 7 kills all four at once Fix: One or two at most
4. Confusing with Hop Bets
Mistake: Think hardway = one roll Problem: Hardways are multi-roll Fix: Understand bet duration
Frequently Asked Questions
Which hardway is best?
Hard 6 and 8 at 9.09% edge are slightly better than hard 4 and 10 at 11.11%. But all are poor bets.
Do hardways stay up after a decision?
No. Once won or lost, the bet resolves. You must place a new bet to continue.
Can I take down hardway bets?
Yes, anytime. Unlike place bets, you can also turn them "off" temporarily.
Are hardways working on come-out?
By default, no. You can request they work, but 7 would take them.
How does hard 4 differ from hop 2-2?
Hardway stays until resolution (multi-roll). Hop is single roll only. Different payouts and odds.
Should I tip dealers with hardways?
If you want to tip, hardways work. But dealer would receive more value from pass line tip.
Pro Tips
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Stick to 6 and 8: 9.09% beats 11.11%
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Small bets only: Entertainment cost
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Off on come-out: Default is fine
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Don't hedge: Hardways aren't protection
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Pass line instead: Much better edge
Related Calculators
- Craps Odds Calculator - All bet types
- Craps Place Bet Calculator - Better number bets
- Craps Pass Line Calculator - Best bet
- House Edge Calculator - Compare games
- Craps Hop Bet Calculator - Single roll comparison
Conclusion
Hardway bets offer the excitement of rooting for doubles—but at a significant cost of 9-11% house edge. Our calculator shows the exact probability and expected value, revealing why these bets should be reserved for entertainment, not strategy.
That 9:1 or 7:1 payout looks attractive until you see the true odds of 10:1 and 8:1. Our calculator exposes the gap, helping you understand exactly what hardway bets cost over time.